D +21.5 across 2 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
California · General election, November 3, 2026
D +21.5 across 2 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies ↗ | Aug 9, 2026 | 2,310 likely voters | Xavier Becerra 55% · Steve Hilton 37% |
| Kreate Strategies ↗ | Jun 17, 2026 | 900 likely voters | Xavier Becerra 58% · Steve Hilton 33% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.