Election desk · 2026
Every race on the board
The dashboard shows the closest handful. This is the whole board: every 2026 Senate contest and governorship, plus every U.S. House district with public polling. Where a race has at least one qualifying nonpartisan poll from the last 180 days, it gets an average and its own page listing every poll counted. Where it does not, it is still listed here — with what is known about the seat and no number attached.
U.S. Senate21of 35 contests
Governor23of 36 contests
U.S. House19districts with public polling
Race by race
U.S. Senate
- AlaskaU.S. SenateIncumbent: Dan Sullivan (R)Dan Sullivan (R)48.2Mary Peltola (D)47.8
- MichiganU.S. SenateOpen seat — Gary Peters (D) is not runningAbdul El-Sayed (D)45.9Mike Rogers (R)45.4
- OhioU.S. SenateIncumbent: Jon Husted (R)Sherrod Brown (D)47.9Jon Husted (R)46.7
- IowaU.S. SenateOpen seat — Joni Ernst (R) is not runningAshley Hinson (R)46.5Josh Turek (D)45.2
- South CarolinaU.S. SenateIncumbent: Darline Graham Nordone (R)Darline Graham (R)45.1Annie Andrews (D)43.2
- TexasU.S. SenateOpen seat — John Cornyn (R) is not runningJames Talarico (D)47.3Ken Paxton (R)44.6
- MaineU.S. SenateIncumbent: Susan Collins (R)Troy Jackson (D)48.3Susan Collins (R)45.3
- New HampshireU.S. SenateOpen seat — Jeanne Shaheen (D) is not runningChris Pappas (D)45.8John Sununu (R)42.7
- FloridaU.S. SenateIncumbent: Ashley Moody (R)Ashley Moody (R)48.6Angie Nixon (D)44.9
- IdahoU.S. SenateIncumbent: Jim Risch (R)Jim Risch (R)34.0Todd Achilles30.0
- MinnesotaU.S. SenateOpen seat — Tina Smith (D) is not runningPeggy Flanagan (D)47.1Michele Tafoya (R)42.7
- GeorgiaU.S. SenateIncumbent: Jon Ossoff (D)Jon Ossoff (D)51.2Mike Collins (R)43.1
- North CarolinaU.S. SenateOpen seat — Thom Tillis (R) is not runningRoy Cooper (D)50.2Michael Whatley (R)41.4
- MontanaU.S. SenateOpen seat — Steve Daines (R) is not runningKurt Alme (R)43.3Seth Bodnar32.5
- New MexicoU.S. SenateIncumbent: Ben Ray Luján (D)Ben Ray Luján (D)53.0Larry Marker (R)38.0
- AlabamaU.S. SenateOpen seat — Tommy Tuberville (R) is not runningBarry Moore (R)47.0Everett Wess (D)32.0
- ArkansasU.S. SenateIncumbent: Tom Cotton (R)Tom Cotton (R)51.0Hallie Shoffner (D)35.0
- VirginiaU.S. SenateIncumbent: Mark Warner (D)Mark Warner (D)48.0Bert Mizusawa (R)32.0
- TennesseeU.S. SenateIncumbent: Bill Hagerty (R)Bill Hagerty (R)51.0Marquita Bradshaw (D)31.0
- Rhode IslandU.S. SenateIncumbent: Jack Reed (D)Jack Reed (D)51.0Raymond McKay (R)31.0
- MassachusettsU.S. SenateIncumbent: Ed Markey (D)Ed Markey (D)51.7John Deaton (R)30.0
Also on the ballot — no qualifying poll in 180 days
- ColoradoIncumbent: John Hickenlooper (D)Hickenlooper turned back a June 30 primary challenge from state Sen. Julie Gonzales; state Sen. Mark Baisley was unopposed for the GOP nomination.
- DelawareIncumbent: Chris Coons (D)Primary not yet held (Sept. 15). Coons faces minor Democratic primary opposition; Mike Katz and John Shulli are competing for the Republican nomination.
- IllinoisOpen seat — Dick Durbin (D) is not runningDurbin is retiring after five terms. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton won the March 17 primary over Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly; former state GOP chair Don Tracy is the Republican nominee.
- KansasIncumbent: Roger Marshall (R)Marshall seeks a second term. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Methodist pastor, set state fundraising records, but the state leans heavily Republican in federal races.
- KentuckyOpen seat — Mitch McConnell (R) is not runningMcConnell is retiring after seven terms. Rep. Andy Barr won the May 19 GOP primary with Trump's endorsement after Nate Morris exited; 2022 nominee Charles Booker leads the Democratic ticket again.
- LouisianaOpen seat — Bill Cassidy (R) is not runningCassidy sought re-election but finished third in the May 16 primary under Louisiana's new closed-primary system; Rep. Julia Letlow, backed by Trump, won the June 27 GOP runoff over John Fleming. Farmer Jamie Davis is the Democratic nominee.
- MississippiIncumbent: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)District attorney Scott Colom won the March 10 Democratic primary to challenge two-term incumbent Hyde-Smith.
- NebraskaIncumbent: Pete Ricketts (R)Independent Dan Osborn, who ran a close 2024 race against Deb Fischer, is Ricketts' main challenger. Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank has pledged to step aside to consolidate support behind Osborn.
- New JerseyIncumbent: Cory Booker (D)Booker was unopposed in the June 2 primary; attorney Justin Murphy won a four-way Republican primary.
- OklahomaOpen seat — Alan Armstrong (R) is not runningMarkwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to become homeland security secretary; appointee Alan Armstrong is barred by state law from running. Rep. Kevin Hern (Trump-endorsed) faces N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a nurse who won the Aug. 25 Democratic runoff.
- OregonIncumbent: Jeff Merkley (D)Merkley seeks a fourth term; state legislator David Brock Smith emerged from a seven-way GOP primary on May 19.
- South DakotaIncumbent: Mike Rounds (R)Rounds seeks a third term; Julian Beaudion was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, and 2022 nominee Brian Bengs is running again as an independent.
- West VirginiaIncumbent: Shelley Moore Capito (R)Capito won the May 12 closed GOP primary over state Sen. Tom Willis; former Morgantown councilwoman Rachel Fetty Anderson won the Democratic primary.
- WyomingOpen seat — Cynthia Lummis (R) is not runningLummis is retiring after one term. Rep. Harriet Hageman won the Aug. 18 GOP primary with about 63%; former state Rep. James Byrd is the Democratic nominee.
Race by race
Governor
- OhioGovernorOpen seat — Mike DeWine (R) is not runningVivek Ramaswamy (R)47.3Amy Acton (D)46.7
- GeorgiaGovernorOpen seat — Brian Kemp (R) is not runningKeisha Lance Bottoms (D)47.1Rick Jackson (R)45.5
- AlaskaGovernorOpen seat — Mike Dunleavy (R) is not runningTom Begich50.9Bernadette Wilson (R)49.1
- NevadaGovernorIncumbent: Joe Lombardo (R)Aaron Ford (D)44.2Joe Lombardo (R)42.0
- FloridaGovernorOpen seat — Ron DeSantis (R) is not runningByron Donalds (R)44.2David Jolly (D)41.3
- TexasGovernorIncumbent: Greg Abbott (R)Greg Abbott (R)48.4Gina Hinojosa (D)44.1
- WisconsinGovernorOpen seat — Tony Evers (D) is not runningDavid Crowley (D)48.5Tom Tiffany (R)44.0
- MichiganGovernorOpen seat — Gretchen Whitmer (D) is not runningJocelyn Benson (D)48.8John James (R)42.8
- IowaGovernorOpen seat — Kim Reynolds (R) is not runningRob Sand (D)50.1Zach Lahn (R)43.8
- ArizonaGovernorIncumbent: Katie Hobbs (D)Katie Hobbs (D)47.6Andy Biggs (R)40.0
- AlabamaGovernorOpen seat — Kay Ivey (R) is not runningTommy Tuberville (R)49.0Doug Jones (D)41.0
- New HampshireGovernorIncumbent: Kelly Ayotte (R)Kelly Ayotte (R)47.7Cinde Warmington (D)38.0
- VermontGovernorIncumbent: Phil Scott (R)Phil Scott (R)44.0Amanda Janoo (D)33.0
- MinnesotaGovernorOpen seat — Tim Walz (D) is not runningAmy Klobuchar (D)50.0Lisa Demuth (R)38.0
- MaineGovernorOpen seat — Janet Mills (D) is not runningHannah Pingree (D)50.0Bobby Charles (R)37.3
- TennesseeGovernorOpen seat — Bill Lee (R) is not runningMarsha Blackburn (R)46.0Jerri Green (D)33.0
- New YorkGovernorIncumbent: Kathy Hochul (D)Kathy Hochul (D)49.0Bruce Blakeman (R)35.8
- New MexicoGovernorOpen seat — Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) is not runningDeb Haaland (D)41.0Greg Hull (R)24.0
- ConnecticutGovernorIncumbent: Ned Lamont (D)Ned Lamont (D)50.9Ryan Fazio (R)33.3
- CaliforniaGovernorOpen seat — Gavin Newsom (D) is not runningXavier Becerra (D)56.5Steve Hilton (R)35.0
- Rhode IslandGovernorIncumbent: Dan McKee (D)Helena Foulkes (D)42.0Elaine Pelino20.0
- PennsylvaniaGovernorIncumbent: Josh Shapiro (D)Josh Shapiro (D)51.8Stacy Garrity (R)29.6
- MassachusettsGovernorIncumbent: Maura Healey (D)Maura Healy54.0Michael Minogue (R)30.0
Also on the ballot — no qualifying poll in 180 days
- ArkansasIncumbent: Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)Sanders was unopposed for renomination; state Sen. Fredrick Love won the March 3 Democratic primary.
- ColoradoOpen seat — Jared Polis (D) is not runningAttorney General Phil Weiser upset Sen. Michael Bennet in the June 30 Democratic primary; first-time candidate Victor Marx won a three-way GOP race by under a point. Democrats favored.
- HawaiiIncumbent: Josh Green (D)Green won the Aug. 8 primary with about 89%; contractor Gary Cordery is the GOP nominee.
- IdahoIncumbent: Brad Little (R)Little, seeking a third term, won his May 19 primary with 59%; attorney Terri Pickens won the Democratic race.
- IllinoisIncumbent: JB Pritzker (D)A 2022 rematch: Pritzker, seeking a third term, was unopposed in the March 17 primary; Darren Bailey won the GOP primary again.
- KansasOpen seat — Laura Kelly (D) is not runningOpen seat in a state Trump carried; widely viewed as Republicans' best pickup opportunity. Senate President Ty Masterson (Trump-endorsed) faces state Sen. Cindy Holscher, who won the Aug. 4 primary without Gov. Kelly's endorsement.
- MarylandIncumbent: Wes Moore (D)A 2022 rematch: Moore beat Dan Cox by 32 points last time and is heavily favored again.
- NebraskaIncumbent: Jim Pillen (R)Pillen won his May 12 primary with 76%; former state Sen. Lynne Walz is the Democratic nominee.
- OklahomaOpen seat — Kevin Stitt (R) is not runningOpen seat: Trump-backed former state Sen. Mike Mazzei edged Attorney General Gentner Drummond by roughly 2,000 votes in the Aug. 25 GOP runoff; state House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson is the Democratic nominee.
- OregonIncumbent: Tina Kotek (D)A rematch of 2022, which Kotek won by 3.4 points in a three-way race; Drazan won the May 19 GOP primary with 43%.
- South CarolinaOpen seat — Henry McMaster (R) is not runningOpen seat: Attorney General Alan Wilson defeated Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette in the June 23 GOP runoff; state Rep. Jermaine Johnson is the Democratic nominee.
- South DakotaIncumbent: Larry Rhoden (R)Rhoden, who succeeded Kristi Noem in 2025, won the state's first-ever gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, 71%-29% over Toby Doeden; former state legislator Dan Ahlers is the Democratic nominee.
- WyomingOpen seat — Mark Gordon (R) is not runningOpen seat: state Sen. Eric Barlow beat Trump-endorsed Megan Degenfelder in the Aug. 18 GOP primary; Kenneth Casner was the lone Democrat to file.
Race by race
U.S. House districts
- FL-22House · FL-22Casey Askar50.0Pia Dandiya50.0
- NM-02House · NM-02Gabe Vasquez46.0Greg Cunningham43.0
- CA-48House · CA-48Marni von Wilpert45.0Jim Desmond42.0
- TX-34House · TX-34Vicente Gonzalez45.0Eric Flores42.0
- OH-01House · OH-01Greg Landsman47.9Eric Conroy44.6
- AR-02House · AR-02Chris Jones48.0French Hill44.0
- CA-06House · CA-06Richard Pan39.0Kevin Kiley35.0
- NY-21House · NY-21Anthony Constantino46.0Blake Gendebien41.5
- NE-01House · NE-01Mike Flood45.0Chris Backemeyer40.5
- TX-15House · TX-15Bobby Pulido50.0Monica De La Cruz45.0
- NY-17House · NY-17Mike Lawler50.0Cait Conley45.0
- IA-01House · IA-01Christina Bohannan40.0Mariannette Miller-Meeks35.0
- OH-07House · OH-07Brian Poindexter54.0Max Miller46.0
- FL-13House · FL-13Anna Paulina Luna49.0Leela Gray41.0
- TX-28House · TX-28Henry Cuellar45.0Tano Tijerina34.0
- AK-01House · AK-01Nick Begich50.6Bill Hill39.1
- NH-02House · NH-02Maggie Goodlander50.0Lily Tang Williams33.0
- IL-04House · IL-04Patty Garcia34.0Lupe Castillo15.0
- VT-01House · VT-01Becca Balint63.0Gerald Malloy25.0
All 435 seats are up. Only the districts above have a qualifying public poll, so the absence of a district here means no pollster has released one — not that the seat is safe.
How these numbers are built
Averages cover the current top-two matchup only, from nonpartisan public polls, latest poll per pollster, equally weighted. Campaign-internal and partisan-sponsored polls are excluded. State and district polling is sparse and carries wider error than national averages — these are averages of published results, not forecasts.
Polling data via the VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed averages; VoteHub does not endorse them. Seat context is maintained by hand in the newsroom and dated on each dashboard refresh.