R +10.8 across 4 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
2026 · U.S. SenateThe Baseline average
Kurt Alme vs. Seth Bodnar
Montana · General election, November 3, 2026
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates ↗ | Aug 4, 2026 | 800 likely voters | Kurt Alme 45% · Alani Bankhead 15% · Seth Bodnar 30% |
| Tavern Research ↗ | Jul 27, 2026 | 517 likely voters | Kurt Alme 51% · Seth Bodnar 49% |
| GQR ↗ | Jul 26, 2026 | 500 likely voters | Kurt Alme 41% · Alani Bankhead 22% · Seth Bodnar 27% |
| The Bullfinch Group ↗ | Jul 16, 2026 | 793 likely voters | Kurt Alme 36% · Alani Bankhead 22% · Seth Bodnar 24% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.