Maine · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
D +2.3 across 12 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | Oct 14, 2026 | 1,200 likely voters | Troy Jackson 49% · Susan Collins 47% |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government ↗ | Oct 5, 2026 | 800 likely voters | Troy Jackson 50% · Susan Collins 45% |
| Marist University ↗ | Oct 4, 2026 | 1,505 registered voters | Troy Jackson 51% · Susan Collins 47% |
| Wedgewood Polls ↗ | Oct 1, 2026 | 400 likely voters | Troy Jackson 52% · Susan Collins 48% |
| co/efficient ↗ | Sep 30, 2026 | 1,240 likely voters | Susan Collins 48% · Troy Jackson 46% |
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Sep 22, 2026 | 619 likely voters | Susan Collins 49% · Troy Jackson 46% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research ↗ | Sep 22, 2026 | 982 likely voters | Troy Jackson 50% · Susan Collins 47% |
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | Sep 21, 2026 | 1,312 likely voters | Troy Jackson 51% · Susan Collins 47% |
| Quantus Insights ↗ |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.
| Sep 15, 2026 |
| 621 likely voters |
| Troy Jackson 46.4% · Susan Collins 47.1% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov ↗ | Sep 14, 2026 | 650 likely voters | Troy Jackson 48% · Susan Collins 43% |
| YouGov ↗ | Sep 8, 2026 | 1,335 likely voters | Troy Jackson 48% · Susan Collins 44% |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research ↗ | Aug 10, 2026 | 1,000 registered voters | Troy Jackson 48% · Susan Collins 46% |
Maine Senate race
