R +9.7 across 3 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
2026 · GovernorThe Baseline average
Kelly Ayotte vs. Cinde Warmington
New Hampshire · General election, November 3, 2026
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | Aug 24, 2026 | 1,878 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 49% · Cinde Warmington 39% |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center ↗ | Aug 18, 2026 | 1,411 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 49% · Cinde Warmington 38% |
| Saint Anselm ↗ | Jun 25, 2026 | 1,614 registered voters | Kelly Ayotte 45% · Cinde Warmington 37% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.