R +16.0 across 1 nonpartisan poll of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
2026 · U.S. SenateThe Baseline average
Tom Cotton vs. Hallie Shoffner
Arkansas · General election, November 3, 2026
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.L. Partners ↗ | Aug 18, 2026 | 803 likely voters | Tom Cotton 51% · Hallie Shoffner 35% · Jeff Wadlin 4% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.